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Prediction markets for a16z
Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?
Jul 27, 3:26 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
61.29%chance
714952
OptionVotes
1266
784
Will a16z have a dedicated AI safety fund before 2030?
Sep 27, 8:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.11%chance
111508
OptionVotes
2282
438
Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?
Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
77.45%chance
5855
OptionVotes
1853
540
OptionVotes
177
87
Will MP (the original creator) consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
56.35%chance
8265
OptionVotes
108
89
How will "The AI Job Apocalypse Is A Is A Complete Fantasy" be viewed at the end of 2027?
May 7, 1:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
240
OptionProbability
55
29
17
OptionVotes
114
87
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