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Top stories

Australian Inflation Hits 12-Month High 2.8%, Tests RBA Outlook

Australian Inflation Hits 12-Month High 2.8%, Tests RBA Outlook

Authors

16

5 months ago

Prediction markets for ABS

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.98%chance

419811291687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30202

16201

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78%chance

25582230974

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10745

2082

Aba Stock

Oct 29, 3:33 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

29551182066

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2569

1988

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2991

2170

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.37%chance

318218151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2061

1304

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

Feb 20, 10:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51%chance

359130811

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2199

2191

In what season will MLB institute rules that incorporate ABS (robo-umps)

Dec 22, 9:38 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2212830

OptionProbability

2026

2027 or later/never

2024

2025

99

1

0

0

Will Zohran be Abundance-pilled in his first year as mayor?

Oct 2, 2:34 AMJan 2, 3:31 AM

49.93%chance

199346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10014

9986

What season will ABS (automatic ball-strike system) be incorporated into a full MLB (Major League Baseball) season?

Mar 30, 11:38 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

91739

OptionProbability

2026

2027, later, or never.

2024

2025

99

1

0

0

Will Amit have visible abs by April 25, 2026?

May 7, 9:19 PMApr 26, 12:00 AM

84.92%chance

9390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

42

California's AB-1127 ("Glock ban") struck down before 2030?

Oct 14, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

When will AB lose his V card?

Dec 23, 6:44 AMDec 23, 6:44 AM

110

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before 2028

Before 2029

Before 2030

66

50

50

50

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Australia
Economics
Business
Australian Inflation Hits 12-Month High 2.8%, Tests RBA Outlook
Authors
16
5 months ago

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