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Top stories

Apollo Insurer Warns Regulators of Conflict Risks at PE-Backed Rivals

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for ACS

Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?

Jan 7, 4:02 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

21%chance

1208710450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1941

516

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Nov 8, 8:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.22%chance

270269974

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5677

4517

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

28490246

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5301

4725

Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026

Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

4072221

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Mistral

Cohere

Hugging Face

Anthropic

Thinking Machines Lab

17

12

11

8

4

4

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

67.77%chance

15037943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10179

9344

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

27.06%chance

6120269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16061

6360

Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?

Oct 17, 7:08 PMOct 17, 11:59 PM

69.67%chance

1914646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15156

6598

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

57.11%chance

1210212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10566

5092

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.21%chance

204208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10135

9805

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will ZeroPath be inactive by 2028 (excl. acquisition)?

Jul 15, 9:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.39%chance

18800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10042

9970

Aces Stock (ACS)

Jan 29, 8:44 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

277

OptionProbability

NO

YES

133

41

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Law
Business
Apollo Insurer Warns Regulators of Conflict Risks at PE-Backed Rivals
Authors
5
6 months ago

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