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Prediction markets for AfD
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
67.86%chance
8819470
OptionVotes
1448
722
OptionVotes
3884
577
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.46%chance
2512587
OptionVotes
10935
9145
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
Apr 24, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32%chance
295918
OptionVotes
1459
686
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
9.66%chance
275814
OptionVotes
3058
327
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
395554
OptionVotes
1363
734
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Oct 17, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.52%chance
143304
OptionVotes
1968
508
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.89%chance
433297
OptionVotes
1059
775
OptionVotes
3208
526
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
9.42%chance
292672
OptionVotes
981
749
Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.3%chance
41275
OptionVotes
255
39
Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Dec 7, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.41%chance
11987
OptionVotes
2286
1778