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Prediction markets for AFT
OptionVotes
5322
188
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
Apr 19, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.94%chance
999766
OptionVotes
1980
1964
If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?
Jul 13, 11:18 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
48.11%chance
272291
OptionVotes
993
983
Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
Oct 14, 1:18 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM
46.19%chance
221312
OptionVotes
191
83
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 10 years afterwards?
Nov 7, 3:49 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
10.76%chance
15546
OptionVotes
316
41
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 year afterwards?
Nov 7, 3:48 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
22.25%chance
13426
OptionVotes
100
71
Who, if anyone, will emerge as an authoritarian leader figure in the Martian Revolution or its immediate aftermath?
Jan 31, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5141
OptionProbability
55
9
9
9
9
9
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 month afterwards?
Nov 7, 3:48 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
20.07%chance
8116
OptionVotes
151
62
OptionVotes
68
37
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 week afterwards?
Nov 7, 3:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.52%chance
995
OptionVotes
159
110
Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?
Oct 20, 2:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
59.39%chance
533
OptionVotes
121
83
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