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Prediction markets for Air Force One
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM
46.78%chance
589636
OptionVotes
1067
938
Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
73.59%chance
212870
OptionVotes
1221
865
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
Oct 30, 3:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.39%chance
231444
OptionVotes
1386
689
Biden passes away in a foreign country or in flight on Air Force One by end 2026
Oct 16, 8:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.67%chance
7488
OptionVotes
511
97
Will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US be transferred to the Trump presidential library (or similar) by 2029?
May 14, 6:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40%chance
14370
OptionVotes
122
82
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.08%chance
12289
OptionVotes
219
61
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
88.77%chance
6265
OptionVotes
251
33
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
10.3%chance
7217
OptionVotes
299
58
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.24%chance
790
OptionVotes
94
85
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