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Prediction markets for Air
What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?
Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM
17984332
OptionProbability
92
22
5
Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade
Apr 5, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.62%chance
13623838
OptionVotes
1928
769
[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM
1515734
OptionProbability
48
41
4
2
2
1
1
1
Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
73.59%chance
212870
OptionVotes
1221
865
Will a Taskmaster UK “Champion of Champion of Champions” be aired before 2030?
Jun 2, 9:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
80%chance
151603
OptionVotes
1461
839
Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?
Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.16%chance
141222
OptionVotes
1979
153
Will an Apple Watch have the ability to measure CO2 in the air by 2028?
Sep 1, 5:29 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM
15.8%chance
161173
OptionVotes
1906
721
OptionVotes
1941
515
Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?
Feb 4, 10:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.95%chance
12857
OptionVotes
1057
656
Will 90% of FAA air traffic controllers be fired as a direct result of Artificial Intelligence by 2030?
Mar 1, 6:10 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
14.75%chance
15617
OptionVotes
1428
841
Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?
Feb 7, 7:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
60.3%chance
15205
OptionVotes
1035
937
Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?
Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.22%chance
3102
OptionVotes
209
201
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