Air News
Prediction markets for Air
What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?
Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM
17074531
OptionProbability
92
14
7
Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade
Apr 5, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.62%chance
13623838
OptionVotes
1928
769
[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM
118197
OptionProbability
40
22
22
6
5
2
1
1
Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?
Apr 22, 8:31 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM
49%chance
123516
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
73.59%chance
212870
OptionVotes
1221
865
Will a Taskmaster UK “Champion of Champion of Champions” be aired before 2030?
Jun 2, 9:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
77.1%chance
151438
OptionVotes
1296
884
OptionVotes
1826
547
Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?
Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.98%chance
13533
OptionVotes
1290
481
Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?
Jun 2, 8:33 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM
35.58%chance
5475
OptionVotes
1345
743
Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?
Feb 7, 7:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
61.23%chance
14190
OptionVotes
1020
960
Will a Taskmaster US reboot air before the start of 2027?
Jun 2, 5:48 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
51.84%chance
5162
OptionVotes
1037
964
Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?
Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.22%chance
3102
OptionVotes
1004
996
Latest stories
Latest stories


