AL News

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid

10 months ago

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

86.06%chance

15038818

OptionVotes

YES

2827

800

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.3%chance

736025

OptionVotes

YES

2441

2204

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

Jan 14, 10:50 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

504152

OptionVotes

YES

1057

959

Ahmed al Ahmed awarded Cross of Valour for disarming Bondi shooter by EOY 2026?

Dec 14, 12:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.46%chance

101932

OptionVotes

YES

1664

601

In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Jun 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4928

OptionProbability

2028-2029

2026-2027

2030-2031

2032-2033

2034-2035

2036-2037

2038-2039

Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?

Apr 12, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.04%chance

19700

OptionVotes

YES

1003

994

Will Al Gore make it to age 95?

Nov 10, 8:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.68%chance

13681

OptionVotes

YES

1003

939

Will most digital entertainment be Al generated by 2045?

Feb 6, 6:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.54%chance

27578

OptionVotes

YES

1096

928

Will "Product Alignment is not Superintelligence Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 1, 10:53 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.25%chance

4158

OptionVotes

YES

1003

982

Will Russia cease to recognise Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist organisation by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 1:29 PMDec 31, 9:00 PM

25.01%chance

595

OptionVotes

YES

1073

958

Will an antibiotic peptide from Santos-Junior et al 2024 be used to cure a human of an infection before 2035?

Jun 7, 7:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

47.87%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

1043

958

weird al will release a parody of a billboard top 100 song in 2026

Apr 19, 9:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

122

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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
MLB
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MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid
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10 months ago

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Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

Ahmed al Ahmed awarded Cross of Valour for disarming Bondi shooter by EOY 2026?

In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?

Will Al Gore make it to age 95?

Will most digital entertainment be Al generated by 2045?

Will "Product Alignment is not Superintelligence Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Russia cease to recognise Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist organisation by the end of 2026?

Will an antibiotic peptide from Santos-Junior et al 2024 be used to cure a human of an infection before 2035?

weird al will release a parody of a billboard top 100 song in 2026

Latest stories

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