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Prediction markets for Alibaba
OptionProbability
46
43
6
2
1
1
1
0
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
20049319
OptionProbability
79
12
6
3
OptionProbability
99
99
99
93
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8616676
OptionProbability
16
16
15
14
11
10
7
6
4
1
1
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
15%chance
8510715
OptionVotes
6313
1835
Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?
Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM
10.09%chance
364362
OptionVotes
2985
335
OptionProbability
97
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will Alibaba release any Qwen 4 model before November 09, 2026?
Nov 2, 8:40 AMNov 8, 11:00 PM
9.6%chance
14950
OptionVotes
307
33
Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.15%chance
10392
OptionVotes
152
66
Will Alibaba publish open weights for a Qwen 4 model on Hugging Face by November 25, 2026?
Oct 24, 9:54 PMNov 25, 11:59 PM
60.77%chance
9348
OptionVotes
138
64
Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.48%chance
6125
OptionVotes
217
97
Will Alibaba ($BABA) trade higher or lower by the end of 2033, compared to the end of 2023.
Feb 2, 5:13 AMFeb 1, 10:59 PM
231
OptionProbability
58
15
13
13
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