OptionProbability
Ron Weasley is a redhead
Harry Potter is white
At least one named character from the book has their race changed
Snape is black
An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show
Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British
Fred and George are twins irl
Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"
Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode
Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)
McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)
A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)
Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes
A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen
Premieres in 2027
Malfoy has white blonde hair
Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him
There’s a scene set before Harry is born
JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer
The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured
Peeves is a reoccurring character
It's woke
Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen
Arthur Weasley is shown on screen
A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry
Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2
Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"
mandrake root on screen
Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen
80% or higher on rotten tomatoes
Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented
Hermione is white
A house elf is shown on screen
Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)
Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name
It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year
Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits
Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot
Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s
An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show
At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped
The Quibbler is shown or mentioned
Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1
Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures
Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1
It ends on a cliff hanger
The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying
An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen
"Voldemort" has a silent "t"
The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.
Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3
Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings
Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode
At least one of the actors is transgender
VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE
Dobby makes an appearance
The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word
Premieres in 2026
Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting
90% or higher on rotten tomatoes
Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)
Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode
We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts
Features an explicitly transgender character
JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance
Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability
Hermione is black
Zendaya is cast in the show
Hermione is Indian
Smartphone shown within Hogwarts
Voldemort is a woman
Awkwafina is cast in the show
There will be seven CGI dwarves
set in 2025
set in the 2020s
Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity
Keir Starmer is in it
Gandalf is black
Yudkowsky makes an appearance
We get AGI before it premieres
Hagrid is black
Fred and George have the same actor
HPMOR is referenced
One or more of Hermione, Ron, and Harry have their genders swapped.
Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender
99
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95
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91
90
88
84
83
83
83
78
78
74
74
73
68
66
65
65
65
64
63
63
58
55
55
53
52
50
50
45
43
42
41
36
34
34
33
32
32
31
30
29
29
27
25
25
25
23
22
21
20
20
15
14
13
12
11
10
10
9
8
8
8
6
6
6
5
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1294
362
OptionProbability
[Silicon Valley] Elon Musk posts two or more tweets that are unambiguously critical of Trump by Election Day, 2028 (Nate: 70%)
[Silicon Valley] Trump establishes a Bitcoin reserve in his first 100 days (Nate: 15%)
[Economy] Trump imposes a tariff of at least 40% on China before the 2028 elections (Nate: 30%)
[Economy] Trump imposes a tariff of at least 25% on Mexico or Canada before the 2028 elections (Nate: 60%)
[Economy] The SALT deduction is raised or uncapped before the 2026 midterms (Nate: 80%)
[Economy] Trump signs legislation or passes an executive order reducing or eliminating taxes on tips by 11/7/2028 (Nate: 65%)
[Economy] There is at least one federal government shutdown before the 2028 elections (Nate: 75%)
[Foreign Policy] Trump makes any new statement that COVID probably or definitely originated in a Chinese lab by 1/20/29 (Nate: 75%)
[Constitutionality] By 1/20/29, the NYT publishes the phrase “constitutional crisis” in reference to actions undertaken by Trump, the White House, or Republicans in the headline or lede paragraph of at least three news articles (Nate: 45%)
[Trump and 2028] Conditional on his still being president, the New York Times publishes at least three articles between the 2026 midterms and 2028 election pointing toward Trump’s physical or cognitive decline (Nate: 80%)
[Constitutionality] The Supreme Court substantially overrules Trump’s interpretation of birthright citizenship (Nate: 90%)
[Culture Wars] The federal government sues any AAU university for failing to comply with Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard by 1/20/29 (Nate: 90%)
[Immigration] Southwestern border apprehensions are at least 50% lower in 2025-2027 than on average from 2021-2023 (Nate: 75%)
[Media] MSNBC ratings are lower in 2026 than in 2018 (Nate: 80%)
[Foreign Policy] Trump visits China (Nate: 90%)
[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%)
[Trump Cabinet] Two or more Cabinet members from any point in Trump’s second term publicly criticize Trump by the 2028 election (Nate: 70%)
[Economy] Total federal government tax receipts, including tariffs, are lower as a share of GDP in 2027 than in 2023 (Nate: 70%)
[Constitutionality] Trump pardons any family member, not including himself, before 1/20/29 (Nate: 90%)
[Media] Trump or the federal government sue the New York Times or the Washington Post, or any active employees thereof, at any point before the 2028 election (Nate: 55%)
[Media] Fox News ratings are lower in 2026 than in 2022 (Nate: 55%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump completes his term (Nate: 75%)
[Constitutionality] Trump pardons himself before 1/20/29 (Nate: 85%)
[Baseline Politics] Mike Johnson remains Speaker of the House through 11/3/2026 (Nate: 60%)
[Economy] The US Gini coefficient is higher in 2027 than in 2023 (Nate: 85%)
[Culture Wars] Homicide rates are lower in 2027 than in 2023 (Nate: 70%)
[Electorate Demographics] The gender gap, measured as the Republican vote share among men less the share among women, will be wider in 2028 than in 2024 (Nate: 65%)
[Silicon Valley] Trump or his successors sign any law limiting the scope of Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act by 11/7/2028, reducing liability protections for social media companies (Nate: 60%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump asserts his intention on at least two occasions to run for a third term in 2028 (Nate: 40%)
[Baseline Politics] At least one new Supreme Court vacancy in the 119th or 120th Congress (Nate: 85%)
[Immigration] At least 1 million illegal/unauthorized immigrants are deported through 2027 (Nate: 90%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump’s approval rating is >=40% by the 2026 midterms (Nate: 55%)
[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the presidency in 2028 (Nate: 55%)
[Constitutionality] Trump or his successors invoke the Insurrection Act at any point before 1/20/29, even if later blocked by courts (Nate: 40%)
[Economy] The NBER declares a recession at any point before the 2028 election (Nate: 45%)
[Electorate Demographics] The Republican margin of victory or defeat improves in Santa Clara County, California in 2028 versus 2024 (Nate: 60%)
[Economy] Year-over-year inflation is >=5.0% at any point based on data published before the 2028 election (Nate: 50%)
[Constitutionality] The New York Times or Washington Post report that the Trump administration has illegally surveilled domestic political opponents by the 2028 election (a.k.a. Watergate 2.0) (Nate: 25%)
[Media] The New York Times or Washington Post hires at least one full-time explicitly pro-Trump political columnist by the 2028 election (Nate: 40%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump is impeached (again) — does not require conviction (Nate: 45%)
[Media] Trump bars all New York Times or Washington Post reporters from White House press briefings at any point before the 2028 election (Nate: 60%)
[Culture Wars] A ban on transgender student-athletes in women’s sports is passed through Congress and signed by Trump or enacted through executive action by 1/20/29 (Nate: 70%)
[Culture Wars] Childhood measles vaccination rates (currently ~93%) drop below 90% in any calendar year based on best available data as of 1/20/2029 (Nate: 35%)
[Trump and 2028] Conditional on still being president, Trump endorses the eventual winner of the 2028 GOP presidential nomination by 2/29/2028 (Nate: 60%)
[Culture Wars] Trump or any successors sign legislation with the explicit aim of increasing US fertility rates by 11/7/2028 (Nate: 40%)
[Media] Trump attends the White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner at least once (Nate: 60%)
[Trump and 2028] JD Vance is the GOP nominee in 2028 (Nate: 50%)
[Electorate Demographics] The GOP candidate increases their share of the Jewish vote in 2028 vs. Trump in 2024 (Nate: 50%)
[Foreign Policy] Trump visits Russia (Nate: 60%)
[Media] The Washington Post endorses the Democratic presidential candidate in 2028 (Nate: 60%)
[Culture Wars] The White House undertakes any executive action, or Congress passes any law, placing new restrictions on licensed online American sportsbooks by 1/20/2029 (Nate: 50%)
[Baseline Politics] Democrats win a trifecta (House + Senate + POTUS) in 2028 (Nate: 40%)
[Economy] Trump invokes the Taft-Hartley Act at least once before the 2028 elections (Nate: 25%)
[Constitutionality] Republicans hold Congressional hearings on efforts to cover up Biden’s age or physical or cognitive condition (Nate: 45%)
[Economy] The S&P 500 closes at least 40% higher on 9/1/2028 than on 1/17/2025 (5,996.66 points) (Nate: 50%)
[Constitutionality] The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index for the US (currently 7.8) falls under 7.0 at any point before 1/20/29 (Nate: 15%)
[Economy] Trump imposes a tariff of at least 20% on Denmark before the 2028 elections (Nate: 40%)
[Silicon Valley] The FTC or another federal agency initiate a new prosecution against a Big 5 tech company by 1/20/29 (Nate: 60%)
[Constitutionality] The White House refuses to comply with any Supreme Court order (Nate: 10%)
[Culture Wars] Trump signs a bill or executive order restricting early or mail-in voting or voter registration practices for federal elections (Nate: 25%)
[Culture Wars] The Oscars rescind their DEI requirements by 2028 (Nate: 45%)
[Silicon Valley] Trump or the White House make a public statement warning of the dangers of unaligned AI by 11/7/2028 (Nate: 40%)
[Economy] Federal spending as a share of GDP is lower in 2027 than in 2023 (Nate: 60%)
[Silicon Valley] Elon Musk donates at least $100M to the Republican general election nominee in 2028 (Nate: 55%)
[Economy] Real GDP growth through Q3 2028 exceeds the average of GDP growth (3.3%) during Biden’s first 15 quarters (Nate: 35%)
[Culture Wars] At least one Oscar, Grammy, or Emmy winner explicitly praises Trump during their acceptance speech before the 2028 elections (Nate: 40%)
[Trump and 2028] Conditional on still being president, Trump endorses JD Vance by 2/29/2028 (Nate: 55%)
[Trump Cabinet] At least three Attorneys General, excluding acting AGs, occupy the position before 1/20/2029 (Nate: 25%)
[Economy] The top federal tax bracket is lower in 2028 than in 2024 (Nate: 25%)
[Electorate Demographics] The GOP candidate increases their share of the Black vote in 2028 vs. Trump in 2024 (Nate: 55%)
[Electorate Demographics] The GOP candidate increases their share of the LGBTQ vote in 2028 vs. Trump in 2024 (Nate: 55%)
[Immigration] At least 3 million illegal/unauthorized immigrants are deported through 2027 (Nate: 40%)
[Culture Wars] At least half the members of any Super Bowl champion refuse to visit the White House while Trump is in office or refuses to invite them (Nate: 10%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump’s approval rating is >=40% by the 2028 general election (Nate: 60%)
[Culture Wars] The White House undertakes any executive order, or Congress passes any law, placing new restrictions on online pornography by 1/20/2029 (Nate: 20%)
[Economy] Trump's first nominee for Federal Reserve Chair in 2026 is confirmed with at least two-thirds of voting Senators (Nate: 55%)
[Foreign Policy] Congress declares war or authorizes the use of military force by 11/7/2028 (Nate: 25%)
[Electorate Demographics] The Republican margin of victory or defeat improves in New Jersey in 2028 versus 2024 (Nate: 25%)
[Foreign Policy] Conditional on the war not ending, the US cuts foreign aid to Ukraine by at least 25% in its next budget (Nate: 10%)
[Foreign Policy] Trump recognizes Taiwan by 1/20/29 (Nate: 20%)
[Silicon Valley] At least 30% of donations from Big 5 tech employees (Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Microsoft) go toward Republicans in the 2028 campaign (Nate: 25%)
[Silicon Valley] Any “Twitter-type” platform has more active daily users than Twitter/X by 6/30/28 (Nate: 30%)
[Electorate Demographics] The GOP candidate increases their share of the Hispanic vote in 2028 vs. Trump in 2024, as measured based on an average of the AP and Edison exit polls (Nate: 35%)
[Silicon Valley] Congress passes a shift to year-round Standard Time (Nate: 15%)
[Economy] Trump attempts to fire Jerome Powell before his term expires in May 2026 (Nate: 5%)
[Constitutionality] The Trump administration prosecutes Joe Biden (Nate: 50%)
[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the Senate in 2026 (Nate: 15%)
[Foreign Policy] There is a territorial dispute, resulting in maneuvering of military assets, between the US and any country in the Americas (including Greenland) before 1/20/29 (Nate: 20%)
[Immigration] More H1-B visas are issued on average in FY 2025-2028 versus 2021-2024 (Nate: 35%)
[Electorate Demographics] The GOP candidate increases their share of the Muslim vote in 2028 vs. Trump in 2024 (Nate: 40%)
[Culture Wars] Race relations are rated as “somewhat bad” or “very bad” by more people than in 2021 (57%) in the average of any Gallup surveys taken during Trump’s second term (Nate: 20%)
[Foreign Policy] The United States purchases or retakes any part of Greenland before 1/20/29 (Nate: 10%)
[Trump and 2028] The 2028 election is not regarded as “free or fair” (or similar terminology) by one or more major international organizations (Nate: 10%)
[Trump and 2028] The transition to the new president in 2028/2029 is marked by violence, resulting in at least five deaths (Nate: 15%)
[Culture Wars] Trump signs a bill to repeal substantial portions of Obamacare by 11/3/2026 (Nate: 30%)
[Baseline Politics] A third party is a significant factor (>=15% or more of the popular vote at any point after Labor Day) in the 2028 race (Nate: 20%)
[Trump Cabinet] At least two of Pete Hegseth, Tulsi Gabbard, and RFK Jr. do not occupy their respective cabinet positions (or are not confirmed) by the 2026 midterms (Nate: 65%)
[Foreign Policy] An American flag is planted on Mars (including by unmanned drones/robots) by 1/20/29 (Nate: 5%)
[Immigration] The border wall/fence with Mexico is completed before 1/20/29 (Nate: 20%)
[Foreign Policy] Trump or his successors successfully withdraw the US from NATO by 11/7/2028 (Nate: 10%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump’s approval rating is >=50% by the 2026 midterms (Nate: 15%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump physically refuses to leave the White House following the end of his term or removal from office (Nate: 5%)
[Media] Trump appears on Saturday Night Live at least once before the 2028 election (Nate: 30%)
[Silicon Valley] DOGE recommendations lead to cuts of at least $500 billion in government spending in any fiscal year between now and the 2028 election (Nate: 10%)
[Baseline Politics] Democrats take control of the House before the 2026 midterms through special elections or party switches (Nate: 10%)
[Foreign Policy] The United States retakes any part of the Panama Canal before 1/20/29 (Nate: 5%)
[Culture Wars] Same-sex marriage is not legal in any state as of 11/7/2028 (Nate: 5%)
[Trump and 2028] The 25th Amendment is invoked against Trump (Nate: 10%)
[Trump and 2028] A member of the Trump family (not including Trump himself) is the GOP nominee in 2028 (Nate: 5%)
[Culture Wars] Trump signs a federal abortion ban into law by 11/7/2028 (Nate: 5%)
[Trump and 2028] Trump appears on the general election ballot of enough states to win the Electoral College in 2028 (Nate: 2%)
[Trump Cabinet] Either Tulsi Gabbard or RFK Jr. are not confirmed to their current cabinet nominations (Nate: 55%)
[Foreign Policy] The war in Ukraine ends in Trump’s first 90 days (Nate: 25%)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
95
95
89
85
85
84
83
80
80
79
79
79
77
77
76
76
75
72
72
68
67
65
63
62
62
61
60
60
59
59
58
58
57
57
52
50
50
45
45
45
45
44
41
41
41
40
40
39
37
37
37
37
36
36
35
35
35
34
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32
32
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31
31
30
30
29
28
28
26
26
25
25
24
23
21
21
21
20
20
19
18
18
17
15
15
15
14
13
12
11
11
10
8
8
8
7
7
3
2
0
0
OptionProbability
Finishes Virdian Forest before step 1073
Beats Brock before step 2381
Finishes Mt. Moon before step 8247
Beats Misty before step 9076
Defeats Surge before step 15266
Finishes Rock Tunnel before step 20426
Defeats Erika
Gets the lift key
Defeats Koga
Defeats Sabrina
Defeats Blaine
Defeats Gym Leader Giovanni
Gets HM03 (Surf) from the Safari Zone
Gets the lift key before step 20000
Gets HM02 (Fly)
Still in Celadon at 15,000 steps
Enters Erika's Gym or Rocket Hideout before step 50000
Enters Erika's Gym or Rocket Hideout before step 25000
Gets Silph Scope or defeats Erika before 30,000 steps
Gets Silph Scope
Gets a fourth badge before 35,000 steps
Gets HM03(Surf) or any fourth badge before 45,000 steps
Gets a bicycle
Defeats Silph Co Giovanni
Still in Saffron City at 35,000 steps
Still in Saffron City at 40,000 steps
Still in Saffron City at 50,000 steps
Gets the Lapras in Silph Co.
Still in Saffron City at 75,000 steps.
Picks up an item between steps 50,000-75,000
Stands next to the Key Card again (after step 63,000)
Stands next to the Key Card again (after step 66,000)
Stands next to the Card Key again (after step 73,300)
Defeats Silph Co Giovanni before step 90,000
Gets a fifth badge before 90,000 steps
Reaches a step count of 150,000
Gets a sixth badge before 98,400 steps
Reaches a step count of 200,000
Gets Gold Teeth from the Safari Zone
Reaches Cinnabar Island before traversing Seafoam Islands
Defeats Gym Leader Giovanni within 1000 steps of defeating Blaine (Giovanni victory music before step 205,060)
Finishes Pokemon Mansion
Walks through the northeastern B1F gate again (after step 132,000)
Blaze reaches level 80
Gets Gold Teeth before step 210,000
Digs before finishing the 1st boulder puzzle
Run ends/is reset because new Claude version is released
DIGs a total of 50 times or more
BLAZE reaches level 90
Solves the 1st boulder puzzle
Reaches a step count of 300,000
Performs a swag boulder (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGK022LJ1do)
Reaches a step count of 350,000
Reaches a step count of 400,000
Any pokemon other than BLAZE gains a level (after step 83,847)
Claude gets a sixth pokemon in his party.
Revives the Dome Fossil
Uses an item other than a ball in battle
Solves the 2nd boulder puzzle
Solves the 3rd boulder puzzle
Gets HM05 (Flash)
Stores an item in the PC
Enters Seafoam Islands
BLAZE reaches level 100
Surfs in the Safari Zone
Finishes Victory Road before step 300,000
Defeats the champion
Gets Eevee
Catches Articuno/Moltres/Zapdos
Gets Hitmonlee
Gets Hitmonchan
Catches a pokemon in the Safari Zone
Claude throws a Pokeball in Safari Zone
Defeats the champion before step 233,000
Catches Mew
Blacks out at least three times in Mt. Moon
Still in Celadon at 30,000 steps
Gets a fifth badge before 37,000 steps
Gets a fifth badge before 50,000 steps
Still in Saffron City at 100,000 steps
Leaves Saffron City without the card key
Visits Safari Zone before Koga's gym
Finds the Card Key before 75,000 steps
Interacts with the Key Card without picking it up
Stands next to the Card Key 5 more times (after step 73,300)
Gets a seventh badge before 115,000 steps
Gets HMO3(Surf) and the Golden Teeth in the same Safari Zone attempt
Finishes Pokemon Mansion before 100,000 steps
Finishes Pokemon Mansion before 97,500 steps
Finishes Pokemon Mansion before 110,000 steps
Finishes Pokemon Mansion faster than Silph Co. (before step 142963)
Finishes Pokemon Mansion before step 120,000
Finishes Pokemon Mansion before step 130,000
Finishes Pokemon Mansion while stream is offline
Sees a strength rock before returning to Safari Zone
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
87
15
13
10
8
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
32786
3050
OptionProbability
[⚔️Frontrunner] Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈
Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus
Tiger - Panthera tigris
Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus
Elephant - Loxodonta africana
Lion - Panthera leo
Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis
Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus
Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus
Wolverine - Gulo gulo
Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer
Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina
Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus
Wolf - Canis lupus
Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes
Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉
Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei
Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima
Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus
Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus 🥉
Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana
Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus
Great evening bat - Ia io
Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini
Triceratops - Triceratops horridus
Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus
Ice Worm - mesenchytraeus solifugus
Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria
Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana
Coyote - Canis latrans
Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus
Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx
Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla
Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri
Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉
Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus
Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus
Dog - Canis familiaris
Cat - Felis catus
Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca
Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri
Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum
Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris
Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias
Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius
Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota
Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi
Phallic frogworm - Atretochoana eiselti
Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus
Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis
Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana
Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor
Kiwi - Apteryx australis
Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus
House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus
Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus
Meerkat - Suricata suricatta
Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉
[⚔️Underdog] New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax
❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]
🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum
❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]
🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]
🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)
🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]
❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]
❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]
❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]
❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]
❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]
🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]
❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]
Other
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Red Dead Redemption 2
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
Halo: The Master Chief Collection
Call of Duty: Black Ops 7
Assassin's Creed Mirage
Assassin's Creed Shadows
Crimson Desert
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024
Grand Theft Auto VI
Grand Theft Auto IV
Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
Grand Theft Auto V
Tom Clancy's The Division
97
81
72
70
69
69
64
60
50
48
48
43
28
24
OptionVotes
YES
NO
20647
4843
OptionProbability
Kissing
Puts his hand on the small of a woman's back (does not have to be romantic/sexual touch)
Flirts with Moneypenny
Sex is implied but not shown (e.g. Kissing, then fading to black and then waking up in bed together)
Cuddling
Hugging
Kisses (or more) with multiple partners (not necessarily at once)
Committing a crime together
Romantic dinner
Holding hands
Missionary
Say or be told "I love you" (Any language)
Massage
Sexting
Multiple partners (at once)
Oral
Spanking (receive or give)
Gay sex
Anal
Oral (giving)
Oral (receiving)
Pegging
Double Anal Penetration
97
88
81
80
70
65
61
61
51
45
39
33
28
20
13
11
10
9
8
7
7
6
6
OptionProbability
Water
Salt
Potatoes
Soy protein
Black Pepper
Fruit Juice
Green Beans
Coffee
Rice
Onion
Tomatoes
Bacon
Yeast-Leavened Bread
Erythritol
Lima Beans
Yam
Ground Beef
Chicken
Lettuce
Aspartame
98
95
72
71
59
56
52
48
48
47
40
35
34
34
30
30
19
19
18
18
OptionProbability
Josh Johnson
Hasan Minhaj
Desi Lydic
Ronny Chieng
No permanent host by 2030
Stephen Colbert
Other
Michael Kosta
Dulcé Sloan
Troy Iwata
Grace Kuhlenschmidt
Lewis Black
Jordan Klepper
John Leguizamo
Leslie Jones
Roy Wood Jr.
Jon Stewart
Trevor Noah
35
11
10
6
6
6
6
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
LeBron
Jordan
50
50

