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Prediction markets for Alpha
If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?
Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM
86.68%chance
649599
OptionVotes
2551
392
OptionVotes
4410
227
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.99%chance
171053
OptionVotes
1701
884
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
68.18%chance
15472
OptionVotes
1092
682
Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?
Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM
54.53%chance
4105
OptionVotes
1095
913
Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?
Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM
54.53%chance
2105
OptionVotes
1095
913
Will the generation after generation alpha also be defined by a technological rather than political/cultural change?
Jan 30, 4:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.94%chance
1077
OptionVotes
170
170
How many distinct celestial bodies will be known in Alpha Centauri system in 2030?
May 2, 11:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
475
OptionProbability
18
18
18
7
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?
Feb 10, 1:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
71.9%chance
667
OptionVotes
184
76
Will a remastered/modernized version of SMAC (Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri) come out by EOY2027?
Jan 17, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.77%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67
Will Elon Musk livestream himself playing Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri with OTHER real people by EOY2030?
Dec 29, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.17%chance
130
OptionVotes
130
77
OptionVotes
130
111
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