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Prediction markets for Alpha
If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?
Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM
86.68%chance
649599
OptionVotes
2551
392
OptionVotes
3200
312
Will the Flexport internal prediction market on freight rates have alpha (as per their CEO)?
Dec 30, 9:54 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
80%chance
411356
OptionVotes
1274
898
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.99%chance
171053
OptionVotes
1701
884
OptionVotes
768
70
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
68.18%chance
15472
OptionVotes
1092
682
OptionProbability
51
18
12
9
4
4
2
Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?
Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM
54.53%chance
4105
OptionVotes
1095
913
Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?
Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM
54.53%chance
2105
OptionVotes
1095
913
Will a remastered/modernized version of SMAC (Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri) come out by EOY2027?
Jan 17, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.77%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67
OptionVotes
130
111
If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)
Jun 13, 11:45 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
10.03%chance
00
OptionProbability
250
250
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