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Prediction markets for Alternative for Germany
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
72.26%chance
8819556
OptionVotes
1612
651
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.26%chance
2112589
OptionVotes
14072
3617
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
9.44%chance
375838
OptionVotes
3098
323
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
7.46%chance
292872
OptionVotes
963
949
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Mar 6, 11:53 AMMar 25, 9:59 PM
65%chance
382868
OptionVotes
269
232
German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)
Oct 27, 10:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
8.92%chance
191824
OptionVotes
320
31
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
Feb 27, 10:06 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM
82.29%chance
271744
OptionVotes
216
46
[Metaculus] Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negot... for Germany before 2030?
Mar 3, 3:42 AMJan 1, 11:00 PM
29.81%chance
161171
OptionVotes
276
237
OptionVotes
130
77
Will Croatia forcefully draft its citizens before 2060
Mar 11, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.31%chance
355
OptionVotes
117
86
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