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Prediction markets for Alternative for Germany
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
67.86%chance
8819470
OptionVotes
1448
722
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.5%chance
2010838
OptionVotes
15423
3517
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
24.39%chance
313953
OptionVotes
1761
568
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
9.42%chance
292672
OptionVotes
981
749
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Mar 6, 11:53 AMMar 25, 9:59 PM
67%chance
322372
OptionVotes
284
224
German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)
Oct 27, 10:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
6.53%chance
171817
OptionVotes
378
26
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
Feb 27, 10:06 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM
82.23%chance
241708
OptionVotes
215
46
[Metaculus] Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negot... for Germany before 2030?
Mar 3, 3:42 AMJan 1, 11:00 PM
29.81%chance
161171
OptionVotes
276
237
OptionVotes
149
67
Will Croatia forcefully draft its citizens before 2060
Mar 11, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.31%chance
355
OptionVotes
117
86
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