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Prediction markets for América
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.16%chance
6812212
OptionVotes
1398
469
OptionVotes
1223
818
Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?
Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
28%chance
725757
OptionVotes
1909
367
Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?
Jun 19, 3:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
94.43%chance
354967
OptionVotes
3900
193
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM
53%chance
413846
OptionVotes
1079
895
Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?
Sep 6, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
55%chance
272910
OptionVotes
1023
966
Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?
Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
5.51%chance
212101
OptionVotes
1076
965
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
34.33%chance
231823
OptionVotes
1383
723
Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?
Dec 11, 3:04 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
71.87%chance
171481
OptionVotes
1127
937
Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?
Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM
74.79%chance
26735
OptionVotes
998
935
OptionVotes
1042
877
Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?
Nov 16, 11:26 AMNov 24, 5:59 AM
43.84%chance
5164
OptionVotes
1132
884
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