American News
Top stories
Prediction markets for American
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
86.08%chance
503200664
OptionVotes
5243
1084
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
92.19%chance
467100387
OptionVotes
8199
980
What % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2026?
Dec 5, 2:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2030407
OptionProbability
63
25
6
2
2
2
1
Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?
Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM
32.81%chance
15416523
OptionVotes
1699
1324
North American 2025 Rhodium estimate to exceed 19 koz
Aug 13, 12:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.02%chance
911738
OptionVotes
13623
7341
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
50.5%chance
442809
OptionVotes
1066
868
Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028
Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
40.31%chance
101108
OptionVotes
3585
2721
Will 60% of Americans approve abortion "for any reason" before 2030?
Nov 12, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.68%chance
181002
OptionVotes
1489
351
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.66%chance
20926
OptionVotes
1257
881
Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?
Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM
15.65%chance
8466
OptionVotes
226
119
OptionProbability
82
9
8
1
Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)
Oct 26, 10:45 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9