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Prediction markets for American
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
87.1%chance
516202603
OptionVotes
5507
1043
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
92.03%chance
473100990
OptionVotes
8091
989
Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?
Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM
34.35%chance
15616893
OptionVotes
1732
1260
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8516507
OptionProbability
17
16
15
13
11
10
7
6
5
1
1
What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)
Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2515681
OptionProbability
24
19
18
14
9
5
4
4
3
Another American cartel leader killed/captured before end of march?
Feb 22, 11:04 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
31%chance
10210154
OptionVotes
1492
670
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
53.02%chance
442859
OptionVotes
1116
821
Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028
Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
40.31%chance
101108
OptionVotes
3585
2721
Will 60% of Americans approve abortion "for any reason" before 2030?
Nov 12, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.68%chance
181002
OptionVotes
1489
351
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.56%chance
20976
OptionVotes
1307
865
Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?
Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM
15.65%chance
8466
OptionVotes
226
119
OptionProbability
82
9
8
1