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Prediction markets for Analytics
OptionProbability
80
71
65
61
58
50
47
43
42
40
38
38
34
33
33
33
30
29
28
28
28
26
24
23
21
21
19
15
15
15
14
12
11
8
8
7
6
3
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2411343
OptionProbability
94
93
93
92
91
90
89
89
86
72
67
66
63
52
52
50
50
42
41
34
32
31
20
What's a common idea/opinion/concept that you think is overrated?
Oct 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
9910782
OptionProbability
91
89
87
87
84
84
82
80
80
79
78
78
76
75
75
75
74
74
73
72
72
71
70
70
70
65
65
65
64
63
62
61
61
59
56
55
52
51
50
50
49
49
48
48
47
47
46
45
45
43
42
41
41
41
40
40
37
36
35
34
34
32
30
30
28
28
27
27
26
25
23
23
22
22
21
20
15
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM
46.35%chance
609746
OptionVotes
1076
930
OptionProbability
45
18
15
12
9
Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?
Aug 16, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.06%chance
122041
OptionVotes
1127
887
Which of these Google Products will discontinued till end of 2026?
Aug 26, 4:57 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
91931
OptionProbability
43
10
5
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which of these Google Products will discontinued in the end of 2026 or less
Aug 26, 4:03 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
131548
OptionProbability
6
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which Microsoft software products will xAI compete with by the end of 2026?
Aug 25, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51183
OptionProbability
21
20
20
20
18
18
18
18
15
11
Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
May 11, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.51%chance
3170
OptionVotes
1072
933
OptionProbability
19
19
19
19
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will janus/repligate or Joscha Bach identify as analytic idealist or monistic idealist by EOY2027?
Nov 30, 5:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100