AP News
Top stories
Prediction markets for AP
👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
50.97%chance
4841156853
OptionVotes
11805
7332
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.86%chance
328673400
OptionVotes
2756
2354
OptionVotes
1311
764
How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
42130742
OptionProbability
26
21
20
18
17
11
Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM
67.55%chance
10358928
OptionVotes
144964
69643
Will I get a job through a referral before April 2027?
Aug 23, 6:50 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
52.4%chance
367049
OptionVotes
15737
14292
Will the Purdue Men's Basketball team be ranked in the Top 25 of the AP poll at any point during the 2026-2027 season?
Nov 1, 10:10 PMApr 5, 11:59 PM
74.78%chance
31170
OptionVotes
1722
581
Will an LLM find a counterexample to the Erdős conjecture on APs by July 2027?
Jul 20, 1:42 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
8%chance
8724
OptionVotes
1025
621
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
Will Aaron Donald be awarded Pro Bowl honors or AP All-Pro honors for the 2026 NFL regular season?
Aug 31, 1:54 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
23.33%chance
8612
OptionVotes
1449
819
Will the AP call the 2026 Mississippi Senate race (Colom vs. Hyde-Smith) by November 20, 2026?
Nov 6, 6:48 AMNov 21, 4:59 AM
87.57%chance
5197
OptionVotes
253
54
Which AP Subject Test for May 2027 will have the most students get the lowest score on it?
Aug 8, 9:33 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
757
OptionProbability
41
16
15
14
14
Latest stories
Latest stories