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Prediction markets for Apple Store
OptionProbability
99
99
98
98
98
97
96
95
95
92
92
90
88
83
82
82
80
75
54
46
41
35
24
24
19
16
15
14
9
4
3
0
Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?
Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
19.06%chance
162690
OptionVotes
2075
489
Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?
May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM
23.16%chance
232453
OptionVotes
1822
549
OptionVotes
2001
500
Will the standalone Hulu app still exist on July 1, 2026?
Aug 9, 5:28 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
48.13%chance
111020
OptionVotes
1047
972
OptionProbability
80
66
66
66
65
62
55
55
55
52
48
48
47
47
43
40
36
36
33
32
Will Anthropic Claude remain in the top 10 free apps on Apple App Store for 7+ consecutive days in March 2026?
Mar 3, 10:15 AMApr 3, 3:00 AM
79%chance
8489
OptionVotes
192
22
Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on March 31, 2026? (US)
Jan 7, 5:00 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
70.71%chance
21456
OptionVotes
365
257
Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?
Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
73.03%chance
12387
OptionVotes
1103
943
Will criminal contempt proceedings be initiated against these Apple executives before 2027?
May 2, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7121
OptionProbability
45
24
21
OptionVotes
150
67
Will Apple VR App Store revenue surpass Meta Quest Store revenues in 4 years?
Aug 1, 10:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
45.66%chance
439
OptionVotes
103
77
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