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Prediction markets for Applied Digital
Global Average Temperature July 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
May 24, 4:56 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM
1413393
OptionProbability
53
37
8
2
0
0
0
0
Global Average Temperature Aug 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Jul 1, 11:55 AMSep 13, 11:59 PM
62794
OptionProbability
27
24
20
13
6
4
3
2
When will the European Union (EU) "entry-exit system" (EES) launch?
Nov 10, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
42767
OptionProbability
14
13
12
12
12
12
12
10
1
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
25.25%chance
17944
OptionVotes
1016
905
Which reason will LWCW 2025 attendees cite most often for disliking the digital session schedule? [ADD OPTIONS]
Jul 29, 1:17 PMAug 30, 1:00 PM
8699
OptionProbability
41
18
16
9
8
8
Will the majority of participants favor digital over paper session schedule after LWCW 2025?
Jul 29, 10:29 AMAug 30, 1:00 PM
55.2%chance
17575
OptionVotes
111
90
Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?
May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
69.86%chance
6174
OptionVotes
152
66
OptionVotes
180
76
[Metaculus] Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?
Nov 7, 2:29 PMJun 2, 7:00 AM
57.75%chance
210
OptionVotes
80
62
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