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Global Average Temperature Nov 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Nov 6, 1:27 AMDec 12, 11:59 PM
117092
OptionProbability
59
23
14
2
1
1
When will the European Union (EU) "entry-exit system" (EES) launch?
Nov 10, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44143
OptionProbability
32
13
13
13
13
13
1
1
1
Global Average Temperature Dec 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Nov 28, 8:57 PMJan 14, 11:59 PM
21699
OptionProbability
27
26
18
16
5
4
4
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
34.63%chance
181220
OptionVotes
1128
640
OptionProbability
56
54
46
36
OptionProbability
36
14
14
14
14
7
Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?
May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
24.58%chance
7449
OptionVotes
175
57
OptionVotes
360
28
OptionVotes
180
76
[Metaculus] Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?
Nov 7, 2:29 PMJun 2, 7:00 AM
57.75%chance
210
OptionVotes
80
62
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