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Global Average Temperature April 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Mar 30, 8:25 AMMay 14, 12:00 AM
1922890
OptionProbability
95
3
2
0
0
0
0
When will the European Union (EU) "entry-exit system" (EES) launch?
Nov 10, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
85663
OptionProbability
42
20
11
11
11
1
1
1
1
Global Average Temperature May 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Apr 25, 1:15 PMJun 15, 12:00 PM
31806
OptionProbability
25
24
21
13
13
4
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
46.61%chance
211358
OptionVotes
1266
436
OptionProbability
56
54
46
36
OptionVotes
1063
784
Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?
May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
24.58%chance
7449
OptionVotes
175
57
OptionVotes
360
28
OptionVotes
180
76
[Metaculus] Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?
Nov 7, 2:29 PMJun 2, 7:00 AM
57.75%chance
210
OptionVotes
80
62
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