ARC News

Nvidia and Google Lead $863 Million Funding for Commonwealth Fusion’s SPARC Reactor

8 months ago

[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:21 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

2724616

OptionProbability

90 - 100%

80 - 89%

70 - 79%

50 - 59%

60 - 69%

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

Oct 4, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60%chance

7918625

OptionVotes

YES

1946

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Apr 5, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.39%chance

6012486

OptionVotes

YES

1590

670

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Sep 16, 7:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.88%chance

5010574

OptionVotes

YES

1026

981

Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?

Mar 25, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.47%chance

7510438

OptionVotes

YES

2252

444

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.82%chance

5110257

OptionVotes

YES

1646

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

Jun 11, 7:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.61%chance

314360

OptionVotes

YES

1288

776

Best ARC-AGI-3 score in 2026?

Apr 14, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

283858

OptionProbability

10 - 20%

0 - 10%

20 - 30%

30 - 40%

40 - 50%

50 - 60%

60 - 70%

70 - 80%

80 - 90%

>90%

Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64%chance

192078

OptionVotes

YES

1333

750

SBF Redemption Arc

Nov 11, 11:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.94%chance

241663

OptionVotes

YES

1291

915

Will Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?

Jan 19, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51%chance

6366

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 6:40 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
VC
Physics
Energy
Nvidia and Google Lead $863 Million Funding for Commonwealth Fusion’s SPARC Reactor
Authors
15
8 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

ARC News

Top stories

Prediction markets for ARC

Prediction markets for ARC

Prediction markets for ARC

[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

Best ARC-AGI-3 score in 2026?

Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?

SBF Redemption Arc

Will Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?

Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram