ARC News

Nvidia and Google Lead $863 Million Funding for Commonwealth Fusion’s SPARC Reactor

10 months ago

[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:21 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

2724766

OptionProbability

90 - 100%

80 - 89%

50 - 59%

60 - 69%

70 - 79%

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

Oct 4, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.76%chance

8519290

OptionVotes

YES

1901

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Apr 5, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.39%chance

6012486

OptionVotes

YES

1590

670

Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?

Mar 25, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.17%chance

7810731

OptionVotes

YES

2461

406

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Sep 16, 7:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51.36%chance

5110624

OptionVotes

YES

1031

977

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.82%chance

5110257

OptionVotes

YES

1646

Best ARC-AGI-3 score in 2026?

Apr 14, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

324862

OptionProbability

10 - 20%

20 - 30%

0 - 10%

30 - 40%

50 - 60%

60 - 70%

70 - 80%

80 - 90%

>90%

40 - 50%

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

Jun 11, 7:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.61%chance

314360

OptionVotes

YES

1288

776

Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.77%chance

272799

OptionVotes

YES

1257

796

SBF Redemption Arc

Nov 11, 11:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.94%chance

241663

OptionVotes

YES

1291

915

Will Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?

Jan 19, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.05%chance

6536

OptionVotes

YES

1150

869

Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 6:40 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
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Nvidia and Google Lead $863 Million Funding for Commonwealth Fusion’s SPARC Reactor
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10 months ago

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[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Best ARC-AGI-3 score in 2026?

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?

SBF Redemption Arc

Will Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?

Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram