ARC News
Top stories
Prediction markets for ARC
[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
Jan 6, 10:21 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
2724616
OptionProbability
91
8
1
0
0
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
Oct 4, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
60%chance
7918625
OptionVotes
1946
27
AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028
Apr 5, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.39%chance
6012486
OptionVotes
1590
670
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
Sep 16, 7:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
48.88%chance
5010574
OptionVotes
1026
981
OptionVotes
2252
444
OptionVotes
1646
86
OptionVotes
1288
776
OptionProbability
23
18
17
10
8
7
6
4
4
3
Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?
Mar 29, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
64%chance
192078
OptionVotes
1333
750
OptionVotes
1291
915
Will Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?
Jan 19, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51%chance
6366
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 18, 6:40 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000