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Top stories

Mexico City Hosts July 11-27 Videomapping and Ceremony Led by Claudia Sheinbaum for 700th Tenochtitlán Anniversary

Mexico City Hosts July 11-27 Videomapping and Ceremony Led by Claudia Sheinbaum for 700th Tenochtitlán Anniversary

Authors

20

20 days ago

Prediction markets for Armed Forces

Altay tank enters Turkish Armed Forces inventory before September 1st 2025

Jan 24, 3:44 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

69.75%chance

5355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

66

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

88.77%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.88%chance

10229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

80

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.7%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

105

Will Valerii Zaluzhnyi ever be reinstated as the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?

Feb 8, 8:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.26%chance

4164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

278

77

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a new fighter jet enter service (publicly) in the United States armed forces before 2030

Jan 28, 3:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.9%chance

3130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.05%chance

4129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

67

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

Will Oleksandr Syrsky still be the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Feb 8, 8:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

59.98%chance

560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

105

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 2 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55%chance

231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

80

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