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Prediction markets for Armed Forces
Will any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?
Jan 20, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.57%chance
15550
OptionVotes
276
36
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20%chance
13291
OptionVotes
213
62
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
88.77%chance
6265
OptionVotes
251
33
Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Jan 20, 12:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10%chance
6240
OptionVotes
191
85
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
47.7%chance
8200
OptionVotes
113
105
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.24%chance
790
OptionVotes
94
85
Will a Taiwanese armed forces pilot defect to China with their aircraft before 2030?
Dec 12, 2:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
23.65%chance
572
OptionVotes
195
98
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 2 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55%chance
231
OptionVotes
100
80
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 3 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55.23%chance
230
OptionVotes
100
81