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Prediction markets for AS Roma
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
63.64%chance
34402754093
OptionVotes
12404
7868
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
86.08%chance
503200664
OptionVotes
5243
1084
In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?
Feb 20, 10:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
40%chance
21860260
OptionVotes
2899
421
OptionProbability
31
14
11
6
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Will @TobiasVyseri and I still be romantically involved at the beginning of 2026? [M$1000 subsidy]
Jan 5, 9:23 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
78.09%chance
5917506
OptionVotes
3323
1209
OptionProbability
37
25
20
11
4
3
Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?
Apr 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.33%chance
497835
OptionVotes
1829
1678
OptionProbability
61
11
8
6
4
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
35
25
20
11
3
3
2
Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?
Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
45.17%chance
3226
OptionVotes
1102
908
Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?
Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM
45.8%chance
5122
OptionVotes
1093
924
Will "The Value Proposition of Romantic Relationships" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jun 3, 2:47 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000