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Prediction markets for Assembly Elections
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
3.1%chance
8225584
OptionVotes
4756
624
Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?
Sep 18, 3:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
88.76%chance
283083
OptionVotes
1982
791
OptionVotes
1194
838
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.7%chance
15616
OptionVotes
1403
713
What percentage of the vote will UPRONA party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?
Jun 3, 6:58 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1245
OptionProbability
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
How many seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey’s 2025 General Assembly election?
Apr 26, 3:36 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM
3182
What percentage of the vote will other parties win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?
Jun 3, 7:03 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1180
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
In the next Northern Ireland Assembly election, will nationalists win at least as many seats as unionists?
Jan 14, 2:12 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
77.74%chance
8155
OptionVotes
237
164
What percentage of the vote will CNL party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?
Jun 3, 6:54 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1125
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?
Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.28%chance
335
OptionVotes
1035
966
What party will win the most seats in the 2025 Bihar Legislative Assembly election in India?
Aug 10, 8:46 PMOct 31, 12:59 AM
220
OptionProbability
42
21
21
16
OptionProbability
50
50
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