Astrophysics News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Astrophysics
OptionVotes
462
105
Will a person running for US federal office in 2026 use the phrase 'kardashev scale' in an official capacity?
Feb 5, 12:50 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM
8.28%chance
16556
OptionVotes
333
30
Will the view that black holes filled with negative pressure explain the expansion of the Universe be the most supported hypothesis in 2030?
Feb 18, 7:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM
5.09%chance
5323
OptionVotes
473
98
OptionProbability
25
24
14
OptionProbability
59
56
53
53
50
38
26
OptionVotes
218
171
OptionProbability
33
25
10
10
7
7
4
3
OptionProbability
50
20
20
20
20
15
Migkas et al. (2021) cluster bulk flow direction/speed be confirmed by an independent method (e.g., kSZ) by EOY 2028?
Aug 24, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
2126
OptionVotes
200
50
Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 discover significant amounts of rare earth elements?
May 7, 4:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
44.32%chance
7103
OptionVotes
112
89
Will time-dependant dark energy be proved by EOY 2030 ?
Sep 24, 4:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.58%chance
687
OptionVotes
180
56