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Prediction markets for Austin
Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Nov 19, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.64%chance
7947526
OptionVotes
1712
1318
Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?
Apr 18, 11:18 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
93.26%chance
3630735
OptionVotes
3719
269
OptionVotes
1716
898
OptionVotes
995
952
OptionVotes
1715
583
Conditional on at least dating 6 months before getting married, will Austin and Rachel still be married after 5 years?
Mar 26, 5:33 PMMar 26, 11:59 PM
95.49%chance
151254
OptionVotes
1753
891
Will Austin and Rachel’s child (Ada When) bet on this market by end of 2030?
Jan 18, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.8%chance
19953
OptionVotes
1139
891
OptionVotes
1013
987
Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?
Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
38.09%chance
2373
OptionVotes
1275
784
OptionVotes
322
70
OptionVotes
124
81
Will Austin Chen get diagnosed with plasticosis by EOY2039?
Sep 21, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
139
OptionVotes
100
100
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