Australian News

Washington Think Tank Urges AUKUS Overhaul of Pillar II to Boost Autonomy, Strike, Air Defence as Marles Visits US and Plans Japan Trip

1 year ago

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

41.25%chance

543032

OptionVotes

YES

1379

426

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

57.11%chance

122456

OptionVotes

YES

1155

868

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM

56.51%chance

6722

OptionVotes

YES

1080

933

Legal Australian prediction market before 2028?

Sep 3, 10:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

9559

OptionVotes

YES

1305

766

Australian Government Announces Fuel Rationing

Apr 3, 2:41 AMDec 31, 1:38 AM

12423

OptionProbability

NO Aus Fuel Rationing in 2026

In May 2026

In June 2026

In July 2026

In August to December 2026

In April 2026

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labour Party?

Nov 3, 8:50 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7396

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers

Tony Burke

Other

Tanya Plibersek

Bill Shorten

Richard Marles

Penny Wong

Jason Clare

Chris Bowen

Linda Burney

Mark Butler

Katy Gallagher

Pat Conroy

Mark Dreyfus

Catherine King

Ed Husic

2027 Australian Open - Women’s singles winner?

Feb 4, 10:26 PMFeb 3, 11:59 PM

5230

OptionProbability

Aryna Sabalenka

Other

🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina

🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

🇺🇸 Amanda Anisimova

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?

Sep 11, 12:17 AMJan 10, 12:59 PM

86.74%chance

4162

OptionVotes

YES

176

Will Pauline Hanson run for the house (not senate) in the 2028 Australian election?

May 25, 1:18 PMJul 1, 12:59 AM

46.62%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

1070

935

Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?

Jun 25, 1:37 AMMay 19, 1:59 PM

25.71%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

170

Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?

May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM

330

OptionProbability

Chris Bowen

Tim Wilson

Monique Ryan

Peter Khalil

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Japan
Australia
US Foreign Policy
Washington Think Tank Urges AUKUS Overhaul of Pillar II to Boost Autonomy, Strike, Air Defence as Marles Visits US and Plans Japan Trip
Authors
5
1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Australian

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

Legal Australian prediction market before 2028?

Australian Government Announces Fuel Rationing

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labour Party?

2027 Australian Open - Women’s singles winner?

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?

Will Pauline Hanson run for the house (not senate) in the 2028 Australian election?

Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?

Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?

Latest stories

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