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Prediction markets for Australian

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

51.12%chance

542873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

562

2026 Australian Open - Women’s singles winner?

Jun 8, 10:26 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

21072

OptionProbability

Other

Aryna Sabalenka

🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula

🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini

36

26

14

13

6

4

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

64.33%chance

4459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

745

Will Scott Morrison (Former Australian PM) be charged with a crime by 2030

Aug 14, 9:36 AMAug 14, 1:59 PM

16.26%chance

9357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

68

2026 South Australian state election winner

Oct 30, 1:00 AMMar 31, 12:59 PM

4335

OptionProbability

Labor

Liberal

Other

89

9

2

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labour Party?

Nov 3, 8:50 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

5180

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers

Tanya Plibersek

Jason Clare

Richard Marles

Penny Wong

Chris Bowen

Tony Burke

Linda Burney

Mark Butler

Bill Shorten

Katy Gallagher

Pat Conroy

Mark Dreyfus

Catherine King

Ed Husic

Other

32

14

11

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?

Sep 11, 12:17 AMJan 10, 12:59 PM

86.74%chance

4162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

31

Australian dollar at or below 0.50 USD by EOY2026?

Apr 11, 12:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.96%chance

7159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM

70%chance

385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

May 25, 2:30 PMJun 30, 1:49 PM

54.05%chance

680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

92

Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?

May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM

123

OptionProbability

Chris Bowen

Tim Wilson

Monique Ryan

Peter Khalil

66

59

50

50

Did Australian voters perceive the Liberal Party as more right-wing in 2025 than they did in 2022?

May 26, 12:26 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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