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Prediction markets for Australian
Kevin Rudd out as Australian ambassador to the US by EOY 2026?
Oct 23, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98.41%chance
520742
OptionVotes
7870
127
When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?
Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM
41.25%chance
543032
OptionVotes
1379
426
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM
69.62%chance
81640
OptionVotes
1516
661
OptionVotes
1305
766
Which Australian politician was groomed by foreign spies according to the head of ASIO?
Feb 29, 3:26 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
10396
OptionProbability
68
25
10
Will Level 5 (fully autonomous) cars be commercially available on any Australian roads by 2028?
Dec 20, 8:51 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
23.07%chance
5286
OptionVotes
190
126
OptionProbability
81
7
7
2
2
2
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM
53.22%chance
6210
OptionVotes
107
94
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM
20.33%chance
10185
OptionVotes
198
51
When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?
Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM
2125
OptionProbability
28
18
18
18
18
OptionProbability
25
25
14
12
12
12
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM
123
OptionProbability
66
59
50
50
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