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Prediction markets for Australian
When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?
Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM
41.25%chance
543032
OptionVotes
1379
426
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM
51.45%chance
122561
OptionVotes
1031
973
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM
51.41%chance
6833
OptionVotes
1028
969
OptionProbability
94
2
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1305
766
OptionProbability
43
11
9
8
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
May 25, 2:30 PMJun 30, 1:49 PM
50.86%chance
8250
OptionVotes
1133
836
When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?
Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM
3175
OptionProbability
27
18
18
18
18
Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?
Sep 11, 12:17 AMJan 10, 12:59 PM
86.74%chance
4162
OptionVotes
176
31
Will Pauline Hanson run for the house (not senate) in the 2028 Australian election?
May 25, 1:18 PMJul 1, 12:59 AM
49.73%chance
4140
OptionVotes
1005
995
Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?
Jun 25, 1:37 AMMay 19, 1:59 PM
25.71%chance
270
OptionVotes
170
59
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM
330
OptionProbability
66
59
59
50
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