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Prediction markets for Bank Policy Institute
Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
17.84%chance
4810173
OptionVotes
1609
816
OptionProbability
55
37
32
14
12
10
8
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
42.85%chance
15727
OptionVotes
1151
729
Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?
Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.85%chance
6253
OptionVotes
287
35
OptionVotes
328
30
Manifold have a central bank and banking apparatus by 2030?
Jun 16, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.28%chance
7143
OptionVotes
187
54
OptionVotes
100
100
Federal Reserve announces wholesale CBDC pilot before 2028?
Jun 10, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
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