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Top stories

US Blacklists Pakistan’s Balochistan Liberation Army as Terror Group

US Foreign Policy

US Blacklists Pakistan’s Balochistan Liberation Army as Terror Group

Authors

26

2 days ago

Prediction markets for BLA

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Jan 15, 8:44 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

53.23%chance

9083678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1321

337

Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?

Nov 3, 6:08 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

25%chance

14319640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3527

720

Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece

Jan 3, 10:26 PMOct 3, 4:59 AM

58.89%chance

15517654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

740

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Apr 26, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

84%chance

14011901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2670

1441

Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.7%chance

207035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14677

6813

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:18 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

756000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

1146

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.68%chance

505971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

768

Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?

Jun 15, 5:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.1%chance

443342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

223

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Feb 24, 11:59 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

19.71%chance

463064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

938

Will Elon Musk blame psychoactive substance use for past Trump-era statements/actions at any point in his life

Feb 12, 1:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.7%chance

212430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

773

Will my halloween costume 2025 be the yeezy swastika t-shirt and brown face paint (realistic blackface) to go as Kanye?

Feb 12, 7:49 AMNov 1, 2:59 PM

31.37%chance

121171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

676

Will Russia be added to the Financial Action Task Force blacklist before 2050?

Oct 16, 11:20 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

50.88%chance

6195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

983

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 12, 2025
Aug 12, 2025
Pakistan
US Foreign Policy
Politics
US Blacklists Pakistan’s Balochistan Liberation Army as Terror Group
Authors
26
2 days ago

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