Bloomberg Business News

9 months ago

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61758

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 9, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

121065

OptionVotes

YES

2040

861

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

Feb 19, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12795

OptionProbability

Yes — valuation above $1.5T

Yes — valuation $500B–$1T

No IPO by Dec 31, 2026

Yes — valuation under $500B

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.52%chance

14320

OptionVotes

YES

1245

938

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.18%chance

8172

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?

Apr 8, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.6%chance

5153

OptionVotes

YES

233

Now Amazon buys Konami on 2034!

Feb 10, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.92%chance

374

OptionVotes

YES

146

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Feb 10, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

115

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

562

OptionProbability

Perplexity

xAI

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Feb 10, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

111

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Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Will Michael Bloomberg (mayor, businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?

Now Amazon buys Konami on 2034!

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Latest stories

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