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Top stories

Citigroup Hires Paul Weiss to Probe Complaints Against Wealth Chief Sieg

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Bloomberg News

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

95233914

OptionProbability

Other

$190-200B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$200-210B

$210-220B

$160-170B

$220-230B

$150-160B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$130-140B

$140-150B

$270-280B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$110-120B

$120-130B

<$40B

$50-60B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

10

8

7

7

7

6

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.78%chance

424145426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2403

417

Will there be a serious attempt by the GOP to overturn the election?

Oct 17, 1:16 AMJan 10, 11:59 PM

4.59%chance

168108632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94142

5505

Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz before April 5, 2027?

Apr 5, 10:29 PMApr 5, 10:27 PM

26%chance

478486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1687

593

Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?

Jul 27, 10:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

86.76%chance

145416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3456

527

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.55%chance

424883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

509

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

25.55%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

586

Will bitcoin rise to 105k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open?

Sep 29, 1:01 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

33.32%chance

251596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1415

707

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM

31.11%chance

101159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

672

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

Apr 2, 3:04 AMApr 9, 3:01 AM

46.27%chance

13531

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

858

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

May 18, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.96%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

988

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Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Law
Business
Citigroup Hires Paul Weiss to Probe Complaints Against Wealth Chief Sieg
Authors
11
1 year ago

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