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Top stories

Citigroup Hires Paul Weiss to Probe Complaints Against Wealth Chief Sieg

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Bloomberg News

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

85182377

OptionProbability

Other

$220-230B

$210-220B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$270-280B

$120-130B

$200-210B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$150-160B

$160-170B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$190-200B

$110-120B

$130-140B

$140-150B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

$50-60B

22

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

401135725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3088

324

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91.11%chance

33095892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19375

4265

Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?

Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

349975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.61%chance

285349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2902

345

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.8%chance

393955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1696

590

Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?

Jul 27, 10:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

51.66%chance

93109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

1306

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

27.79%chance

111598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM

31.26%chance

91154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

674

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

Apr 2, 3:04 AMApr 9, 3:01 AM

48.76%chance

12481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

808

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

56.94%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Law
Business
Citigroup Hires Paul Weiss to Probe Complaints Against Wealth Chief Sieg
Authors
11
1 year ago

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