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Top stories

Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin Seek More Government Contracts as Trump Reviews SpaceX Deals Vital to Pentagon and NASA

US Domestic Policy

Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin Seek More Government Contracts as Trump Reviews SpaceX Deals Vital to Pentagon and NASA

Authors

39

14 days ago

Blue Origin Announces Tron Founder Justin Sun, $28 Million Bidder, Among Six Passengers for Upcoming NS-34 Flight

Blue Origin Announces Tron Founder Justin Sun, $28 Million Bidder, Among Six Passengers for Upcoming NS-34 Flight

Authors

14

12 days ago

Prediction markets for Blue Origin

Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)

Nov 24, 12:08 AMDec 28, 12:59 PM

71.63%chance

7217120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

688

Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?

May 19, 6:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

22.05%chance

518642

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

258

Blue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?

Mar 11, 7:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

13.75%chance

183279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2504

399

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.42%chance

141349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1906

525

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.98%chance

141009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

546

Will Blue Origin ever be worth more than SpaceX before 2040?

Mar 7, 3:18 AMJan 14, 7:59 AM

32.97%chance

8464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

203

200

When will Blue Origin reach orbit?

Jul 30, 12:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.83%chance

10225

OptionProbability

YES

NO

172

111

Will SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?

May 22, 1:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

72.65%chance

9176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

111

Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?

Jul 5, 5:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

82.69%chance

6169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219

46

What will be the name of the third Blue Origin rocket?

Jan 4, 8:29 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

676

OptionProbability

New Armstrong

Other

New Borman

New Young

New White

New Lovell

New Grissom

New Schirra

58

16

6

4

4

4

4

4

Will a state which is not the US contract SpaceX or Blue Origin to conduct a lunar landing before 2035?

May 22, 1:06 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

55.82%chance

539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

92

Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.98%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

73

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