BN News

Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Boosts Alphabet Stake by 21%, Adds $1.28 Billion Amazon Position, Exits Cheniere Energy

1 day ago

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.73%chance

225161

OptionVotes

YES

2052

747

What will the 2025 US Federal Deficit be?

Dec 7, 10:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

112446

OptionProbability

More than $2 trillion

$2tr to $1.5tr

$1.5tr to $1tr

$500 bn to 0

$1tr to -$500bn

Other

Balanced (0 or Surplus)

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

751943

OptionProbability

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

None of the above before 2029

Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?

Apr 3, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.17%chance

221435

OptionVotes

YES

1012

858

Will Fox settle their case against Smartmatic ?

Apr 19, 4:18 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

55.56%chance

10409

OptionVotes

YES

203

174

Will Elon Musk become twice as wealthy as both Jeff Bezos and 4th place in Forbes real time billionaires List before2029

Jun 19, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.24%chance

10292

OptionVotes

YES

231

122

[Carlini questions] Cost of single SOTA AI system training run by 2027

Mar 24, 2:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3275

[Carlini questions] Cost of single SOTA AI system training run by 2030

Mar 24, 2:01 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

495

[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2027

Mar 24, 1:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

386

How much will nuclear power cost by 2040? (Price per MWe)

Dec 22, 4:04 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

355

OptionProbability

Between $500k and $1mm per MWe

Between $2mm and $3mm

Less than $500k per MWe

Between $1mm and $2mm

More than $3mm

[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2030

Mar 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

328

Will BNB be priced above 1000 USD at the end of 2025?

Dec 8, 9:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

115

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Stocks
Business
Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Boosts Alphabet Stake by 21%, Adds $1.28 Billion Amazon Position, Exits Cheniere Energy
Authors
8
1 day ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

BN News

Top stories

Prediction markets for BN

Prediction markets for BN

Prediction markets for BN

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

What will the 2025 US Federal Deficit be?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?

Will Fox settle their case against Smartmatic ?

Will Elon Musk become twice as wealthy as both Jeff Bezos and 4th place in Forbes real time billionaires List before2029

[Carlini questions] Cost of single SOTA AI system training run by 2027

[Carlini questions] Cost of single SOTA AI system training run by 2030

[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2027

How much will nuclear power cost by 2040? (Price per MWe)

[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2030

Will BNB be priced above 1000 USD at the end of 2025?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram