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Prediction markets for Boston

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.03%chance

81844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

299

When will Boston Dynamics start selling their new Atlas humanoid robot to customers?

Apr 19, 11:39 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

141127

OptionProbability

2029 or later / Never

2026

2025

2027

2028

2024

35

18

14

12

12

9

Will 10% of Boston city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 3, 3:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.27%chance

12961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

881

83

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.75%chance

37866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

894

Which Boston restaurant(s) will get at least 1 Michelin Star by the end of March 2026?

May 14, 8:05 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

8527

OptionProbability

Wa Shin

Giulia

Ostra

O Ya

Deuxave

Astra

Celeste

Nightshade Noodle Bar

Kaia

Mahaniyom

Brassica Kitchen + Cafe

97

58

50

36

34

34

34

28

28

28

24

Will Boston Mayor Michelle Wu be reelected in 2025?

Jul 27, 11:37 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

80.84%chance

14439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

255

135

Will Boston Mayor Michelle Wu step down before the end of her first term?

Sep 21, 2:28 PMNov 4, 10:59 PM

10.55%chance

11331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

397

84

Will Boston have a 2 Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2026?

May 14, 8:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.86%chance

3120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

will boston ban styrofoam takeout containers by EOY2026?

Sep 16, 6:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.77%chance

135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

Will MBTA trains on the Boston red line finally have PM2.5 levels lower than 10 ug/m^3 (like BART trains) by EOY 2027?

Jan 22, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.27%chance

118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

56

45

Will Boston get a major >70mph wind gust in 2025?

Oct 24, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Boston-based bluebikes start equipping mirrors for rear view by EOY2027?

Apr 22, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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