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Prediction markets for BP
Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
60.27%chance
282217
OptionVotes
1381
858
FDA/WHOOP Warning Letter - Will the FDA force Whoop to suspend BP Insights features (until 510k clearance is granted)?
Aug 19, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM
42.14%chance
91206
OptionVotes
1172
853
Will we be able to solve all NP problems in polynomial time by 2200? (any practical computation method, e.g. BPP, BQP)
Nov 25, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.41%chance
15909
OptionVotes
1179
955
OptionVotes
1107
903
OptionVotes
375
97
Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?
Apr 9, 4:00 PMApr 17, 3:59 AM
78.33%chance
17553
OptionVotes
1155
913
OptionProbability
23
21
17
16
12
11
OptionVotes
201
118
OptionVotes
124
81
~~Conditional on a winning bid,~~ will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?
Aug 24, 12:42 PMAug 24, 11:59 PM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
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