Brain News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Brain
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.25%chance
26933697
OptionVotes
3470
1943
By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?
Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
40%chance
24919563
OptionVotes
2714
1726
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
36.58%chance
12319399
OptionVotes
14979
7700
Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM
10.71%chance
2412029
OptionVotes
3374
219
Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035
Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.12%chance
8211323
OptionVotes
1433
1170
OptionVotes
1617
877
Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Mar 2, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50%chance
766998
OptionVotes
1469
732
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
325852
OptionVotes
1365
735
OptionVotes
1330
786
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.55%chance
31810
OptionVotes
2025
1882
Will a $1k non-invasive brain interface handle 100 commands before 2027?
Feb 9, 2:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
28.58%chance
15334
OptionVotes
1096
945
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
48.13%chance
350
OptionVotes
1038
963