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Prediction markets for Brain
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.86%chance
26733230
OptionVotes
3003
2075
By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?
Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
40%chance
24919563
OptionVotes
2714
1726
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
36.12%chance
12219298
OptionVotes
15119
7621
Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:36 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM
12%chance
2211616
OptionVotes
3226
238
Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035
Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.12%chance
8211323
OptionVotes
1433
1170
OptionVotes
1617
877
Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Mar 2, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
35%chance
726211
OptionVotes
1195
1106
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36%chance
325752
OptionVotes
1335
751
OptionVotes
1330
786
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.89%chance
29694
OptionVotes
2157
1925
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
43.89%chance
3135
OptionVotes
1131
884
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
48.13%chance
350
OptionVotes
1038
963