OptionVotes
YES
NO
6715
3343
OptionProbability
5
4
6 - 7
3
8 - 9
10 - 11
12 - 15
0
1
2
27
24
22
12
8
1498
668
Trump -> Stay
Trump -> Withdraw
Biden -> Stay (NO)
Biden -> Withdraw (NO)
Other -> Withdraw (NO)
Other -> Stay (NO)
82
17
248
40
486
21
1159
928
No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves
Before 1 July 2026
July to December 2026
During 2027
2028 or later
18
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