Bureau of Economic Analysis News

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

1 year ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

Economics

Business

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

1 year ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Economics

Business

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

1 year ago

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.18%chance

142134058

OptionVotes

YES

47939

2089

When will the next US recession be?

Aug 8, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:06 PM

4530144

OptionProbability

Before Q1 2030

Before Q3 2029

Before Q1 2029

Before Q3 2028

Before Q1 2028

Q1 2030 or later

Before Q3 2027

Before Q1 2027

Before Q3 2026

Before Q1 2026

Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak?

Apr 14, 8:06 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

29.53%chance

1812082

OptionVotes

YES

1545

647

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Aug 12, 12:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

123045

OptionVotes

YES

2380

420

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Feb 19, 11:34 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

65%chance

222700

OptionVotes

YES

1500

257

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

Feb 19, 11:35 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

62.42%chance

181338

OptionVotes

YES

1467

455

Will BLS report more than 275,600 data scientist jobs in the United States in 2030?

Oct 26, 1:11 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

75.39%chance

91260

OptionVotes

YES

1750

571

[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Nov 9, 12:21 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

16.28%chance

18973

OptionVotes

YES

1478

866

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.29%chance

15968

OptionVotes

YES

1402

713

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?

Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM

32.1%chance

3125

OptionVotes

YES

1056

869

If Democrats win the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?

Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM

26.66%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

1050

981

If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2029 or 2030?

Oct 7, 2:52 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM

38.07%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

968

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Bureau of Economic Analysis News

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Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis

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US recession in 2026?

When will the next US recession be?

Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak?

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

Will BLS report more than 275,600 data scientist jobs in the United States in 2030?

[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?

If Democrats win the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?

If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2029 or 2030?

Latest stories

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