Bureau of Economic Analysis News

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

3 months ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

Economics

Business

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

4 months ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Economics

Business

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

3 months ago

In which quarters of 2025 will US GDP contract? (3rd estimate)

May 1, 5:31 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

4171522

OptionProbability

100

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.42%chance

5830137

OptionVotes

YES

15871

6301

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.44%chance

12227376

OptionVotes

YES

10020

1563

When will the next US recession be?

Aug 8, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:06 PM

2911603

OptionProbability

Before Q3 2028

Before Q1 2030

Before Q1 2028

Before Q1 2029

Before Q3 2029

Before Q3 2027

Before Q1 2027

Before Q3 2026

Q1 2030 or later

Before Q1 2026

Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics

Jan 22, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.15%chance

734985

OptionVotes

YES

1530

697

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Feb 19, 11:34 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

38.73%chance

161824

OptionVotes

YES

1157

581

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Aug 12, 12:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.5%chance

101037

OptionVotes

YES

2032

492

Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?

Nov 3, 5:37 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

15%chance

13900

OptionVotes

YES

238

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

Feb 19, 11:35 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

48.16%chance

15889

OptionVotes

YES

1204

667

[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Nov 9, 12:21 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

23.98%chance

17523

OptionVotes

YES

1028

977

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

53.07%chance

6196

OptionVotes

YES

1064

940

China economic recession before US?

Sep 7, 11:32 AMSep 7, 1:10 AM

5101

OptionProbability

Economic recession begins in US first

Economic recession begins in China first

Economic recession begins simultaneously in China and US

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Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis

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Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis

In which quarters of 2025 will US GDP contract? (3rd estimate)

US recession in 2026?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

When will the next US recession be?

Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

China economic recession before US?

Latest stories

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