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Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis
OptionVotes
47939
2089
OptionProbability
69
65
60
50
40
32
28
7
3
1
Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak?
Apr 14, 8:06 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM
29.53%chance
1812082
OptionVotes
1545
647
Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
Aug 12, 12:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
15%chance
123045
OptionVotes
2380
420
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
Feb 19, 11:34 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM
65%chance
222700
OptionVotes
1500
257
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
Feb 19, 11:35 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM
62.42%chance
181338
OptionVotes
1467
455
Will BLS report more than 275,600 data scientist jobs in the United States in 2030?
Oct 26, 1:11 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM
75.39%chance
91260
OptionVotes
1750
571
[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Nov 9, 12:21 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM
16.28%chance
18973
OptionVotes
1478
866
Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
66.29%chance
15968
OptionVotes
1402
713
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?
Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
32.1%chance
3125
OptionVotes
1056
869
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2027?
Oct 7, 2:51 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
26.66%chance
252
OptionVotes
1050
981
If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will U.S. real GDP shrink in any quarter of 2029 or 2030?
Oct 7, 2:52 AMFeb 15, 5:00 PM
38.07%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
968
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