Bureau of Economic Analysis News

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

7 months ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

Economics

Business

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%

7 months ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Economics

Business

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

7 months ago

In which quarters of 2025 will US GDP contract? (3rd estimate)

May 1, 5:31 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

49171615

OptionProbability

100

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.57%chance

9546672

OptionVotes

YES

13181

7598

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

5%chance

12828388

OptionVotes

YES

7285

1681

When will the next US recession be?

Aug 8, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:06 PM

3621202

OptionProbability

Before Q1 2030

Before Q3 2029

Before Q1 2029

Before Q3 2028

Before Q1 2028

Before Q3 2027

Before Q1 2027

Q1 2030 or later

Before Q3 2026

Before Q1 2026

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

24.33%chance

162366

OptionVotes

YES

6197

4686

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

Feb 19, 11:34 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

52%chance

192108

OptionVotes

YES

1318

386

2026 a nightmare year for Trump?

Dec 21, 9:16 AMNov 27, 11:59 PM

30%chance

251364

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Aug 12, 12:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.56%chance

111038

OptionVotes

YES

2028

493

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

Feb 19, 11:35 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

43%chance

16987

OptionVotes

YES

1122

765

[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Nov 9, 12:21 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

23.98%chance

17523

OptionVotes

YES

1028

977

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

53.17%chance

7198

OptionVotes

YES

1066

939

China economic recession before US?

Sep 7, 11:32 AMSep 7, 1:10 AM

5101

OptionProbability

Economic recession begins in US first

Economic recession begins in China first

Economic recession begins simultaneously in China and US

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Breaking
Economics
Business
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%
Authors
14
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment
Authors
30
7 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Economics
Business
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Trims Q3 US Growth View to 2.3%
Authors
5
7 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Bureau of Economic Analysis News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis

Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis

Prediction markets for Bureau of Economic Analysis

In which quarters of 2025 will US GDP contract? (3rd estimate)

US recession in 2026?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

When will the next US recession be?

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?

2026 a nightmare year for Trump?

Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?

Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

China economic recession before US?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram