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Top stories

Egypt, Qatar Move to Activate $7.5 Billion Investment Package

Egypt, Qatar Move to Activate $7.5 Billion Investment Package

Authors

5

3 months ago

Newsom Raises Dementia Question as Health Barbs Fly With Trump

Newsom Raises Dementia Question as Health Barbs Fly With Trump

Authors

10

3 months ago

Kenya Treasury Defies Parliament, Insists on E-Procurement as Sh250bn Projects Stall

Kenya Treasury Defies Parliament, Insists on E-Procurement as Sh250bn Projects Stall

Authors

3

3 months ago

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Authors

14

3 months ago

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25

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

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Authors

17

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

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5

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US Domestic Policy

Bessent Says Fed Independence Hinges on Public Trust, Credits Trump

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12

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Cabinet

Will at least 50% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.99%chance

16726788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

986

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

10.84%chance

2221326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28677

3487

If Trump wins the election, will Vivek Ramaswamy be given a government position (cabinet or otherwise) by EOY 2025?

Jan 21, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.66%chance

8612537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

21

Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?

Jun 2, 7:42 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

23.81%chance

557166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1789

559

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

52

28

8

7

4

Will a member of the Trump cabinet be appointed through a recess appointment in 2025?

Nov 14, 3:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.09%chance

133562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2577

388

If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?

Mar 13, 6:06 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

14.13%chance

132073

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2947

411

Will at least 33% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.2%chance

231856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1335

841

Will at least 25% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.6%chance

191520

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1790

705

Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Mar 31, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

151381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2559

1062

If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 11:11 AMNov 4, 7:59 PM

77.12%chance

201243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1299

868

Will Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

42.74%chance

2281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

864

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