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Top stories

Egypt, Qatar Move to Activate $7.5 Billion Investment Package

Egypt, Qatar Move to Activate $7.5 Billion Investment Package

Authors

5

1 year ago

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Newsom Raises Dementia Question as Health Barbs Fly With Trump

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Prediction markets for Cabinet

Will at least 50% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51%chance

17529844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

891

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

7.29%chance

2828861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35669

2804

Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?

Jun 2, 7:42 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

23.75%chance

557169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1792

558

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

165400

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

62

25

6

5

3

Will at least 33% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.5%chance

292845

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

820

Will at least 25% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Nov 6, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.01%chance

252738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1497

781

If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?

Mar 13, 6:06 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

15.3%chance

142273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2824

432

Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Mar 31, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.86%chance

151391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2466

1072

If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 11:11 AMNov 4, 7:59 PM

76.4%chance

211281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

879

Will Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

64.54%chance

51266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1349

741

Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?

Dec 10, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.27%chance

6677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1481

907

Will Trump, any of his cabinet, or any official government account mention aella by name in a tweet by January 1 2028?

Sep 21, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.13%chance

9527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1222

819

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