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Prediction markets for CAF
Will Caffe Luxxe Culver City open for business before March 31?
Feb 14, 1:44 AMJan 1, 2:43 AM
18.48%chance
21095
OptionVotes
210
48
OptionProbability
35
25
14
10
10
5
1
Will they bring back Butterfinger Buzz or another caffeinated Butterfingers product before the end of 2030?
Mar 24, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.98%chance
8473
OptionVotes
570
71
OptionVotes
138
72
Will the African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) become Extinct by 2100?
Mar 8, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.05%chance
5296
OptionVotes
794
400
Will a deuterated caffeine drink be sold to consumers by 2035?
Sep 1, 11:50 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.42%chance
10221
OptionVotes
237
153
Will the wild population of the African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) become extinct by 2100?
Apr 3, 8:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.76%chance
7192
OptionVotes
663
406
OptionProbability
30
29
29
12
OptionProbability
50
41
10
Will there be a fully 24/7 Corgi Cafe operating in NYC at the end of 2028?
Aug 21, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.78%chance
456
OptionVotes
140
71
Will Gambia qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup finals?
Aug 21, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.79%chance
536
OptionVotes
108
41
Will "The effects of caffeine consumption do not de..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Apr 9, 3:01 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.43%chance
15
OptionVotes
1005
970