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Prediction markets for Caliber
Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?
Aug 18, 3:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
83.69%chance
481456
OptionVotes
1194
934
OptionProbability
44
33
23
Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?
Mar 10, 11:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.36%chance
12812
OptionVotes
700
170
OptionProbability
53
25
17
4
OptionProbability
51
49
OptionProbability
66
66
66
66
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
48
48
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