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Caliber News

    Prediction markets for Caliber

    Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?

    Aug 18, 3:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    83.69%chance
    481456

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1194

    934

    OptionProbability

    The same

    Better

    Worse

    44

    33

    23

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    700

    170

    OptionProbability

    Later/Never

    2031-2033

    2028-2030

    2025-2027

    53

    25

    17

    4

    Better NFL Quarterback

    Mar 25, 11:49 PMApr 1, 11:08 PM
    4122

    OptionProbability

    Fernando Mendoza

    Ty Simpson

    51

    49

    OptionProbability

    I get my car a very weird paint job which would make it unsellable

    Will go to edge Esmeralda (in any capacity, at least one event)

    Will get cavity preventing bacteria

    Japan JET Reunion 2025

    I buy a video camera that can record for 24h+ and record various public places

    Pickleball tournament

    I use computer vision to run diy studies of politeness behavior, grouped by car brand etc

    I start an AI beauty/art twitter and get 1k followers

    I document a method of self modifying an SLR by blackening all surfaces

    Publish and finish personal)group predictions tracking software

    AI phrenology - publish a doc on a study of AI image generation models differential portrayals of previously very hard to measure aspects of the human condition such as facial shape linkages to personality

    Build a personal pickleball court and attract community members to play there

    Surreptitiously construct additional pickleball courts at Foster City

    Publish an edited dashcam video of all the things I've filmed with the Tesla ssd

    Tool to view twitter as someone else. Given that follows are public this should be easy

    Create a nice Tesla models y fold over screen cover with cutouts for vital areas only. Makes night driving much easier. No need for a distracting map view if you're not turning for 200 miles

    I off road hike far into iron point outside Golconda, NV

    I set a personal daily mileage record

    Make balatro mod which shows currently selected hand score if played (ie everyone's need for this otherwise great game)

    Get gphotos to fix any of their innumerable UI bugs by complaining

    Have a sci-fi story published online somewhere

    Make neighborhood intro video with stories etc

    Will go to a natal conference again

    Local Free library and bulletin board at my place

    Overland trek to CITY in Nevada, an off-limits experimental art city which has been in progress for over 50 years

    Go to Mexico to see Trevor Bauer play

    Go see the Starship 4 launch in Texas in 2024

    Release "Reading the mind in the AI generated images"

    Get over 1k users for my browser extension

    Ship something involving image => description => more images to users

    I go to West Africa and go to concerts, visit Nollywood etc

    I write a science fiction novel about aliens who experiment with forced evolution

    Browser extension to add metadata on all people's names, relating to their offspring number, success, etc

    66

    66

    66

    66

    52

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    48

    48

    Are you well calibrated?

    Feb 18, 7:45 AM
    270

    How do calibration grades work?

    Jul 24, 1:46 AMJul 24, 6:59 AM
    00

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