California Democrats News

Gavin Newsom Leads 2028 Democratic Primary with 31% Odds as Dwayne Johnson Rises; JD Vance Tops GOP Polls

8 months ago

California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Nov 14, 7:36 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

96.31%chance

4613282

OptionVotes

YES

5109

196

Will both general election candidates in the race for the governor of California be Republicans?

Apr 7, 8:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

6.47%chance

96461

OptionVotes

YES

3802

263

Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?

Oct 22, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.82%chance

155261

OptionVotes

YES

1637

611

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

4842

207

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

1948

513

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

25.24%chance

133032

OptionVotes

YES

1721

581

Who will win the Democratic primary for California governor? Tony Thurmond or Katie Porter?

May 4, 5:24 PMJun 2, 11:59 PM

53018

OptionProbability

Katie Porter

Tony Thurmond

Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:49 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

95.91%chance

172468

OptionVotes

YES

519

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.4%chance

222282

OptionVotes

YES

1377

729

Democrats representing California at start of 120th House term?

Oct 26, 5:08 PMFeb 1, 5:05 PM

3656

OptionProbability

41 - 43

44 - 46

47 - 49

50 - 52

35 - 37

38 - 40

Above 52

Below 35

Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?

Nov 9, 8:00 AMNov 1, 1:59 PM

34.03%chance

8490

OptionVotes

YES

1392

718

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 24th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3240

OptionProbability

Brian Goldsmith (Democratic)

John Erickson (Democratic)

Mike Newhouse (Democratic)

Sion Roy (Democratic)

Nico Ruderman

Zennon Ulyate-Crow

Other

Eric Alegria (Democratic)

Ellen Evans (Democratic)

Brittany McKinley (Democratic)

Kristina Irwin (Republican)

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Prediction Markets
Politics
Gavin Newsom Leads 2028 Democratic Primary with 31% Odds as Dwayne Johnson Rises; JD Vance Tops GOP Polls
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8 months ago

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California Democrats News

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Prediction markets for California Democrats

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California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?

Will both general election candidates in the race for the governor of California be Republicans?

Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Who will win the Democratic primary for California governor? Tony Thurmond or Katie Porter?

Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Democrats representing California at start of 120th House term?

Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 24th State Senate district

Latest stories

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