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Prediction markets for California Democrats
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.52%chance
3826421
OptionVotes
1294
776
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Jun 16, 4:50 AMNov 26, 9:10 PM
2112497
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
4
0
0
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in California's 22nd District?
Nov 6, 1:10 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM
212002
OptionProbability
83
17
0
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in California's 13th District?
Nov 6, 1:07 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM
211502
OptionProbability
84
16
0
OptionProbability
84
10
2
1
1
1
1
0
OptionVotes
4842
207
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM
44.48%chance
143602
OptionVotes
1117
895
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in California's 48th District?
Nov 6, 1:17 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM
23003
OptionProbability
77
23
0
Will the California legislature override any gubernatorial veto by the end of 2029
Sep 28, 5:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.59%chance
41270
OptionVotes
2017
740
Will any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?
Sep 26, 1:46 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
44.05%chance
141025
OptionVotes
1127
887
Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?
Nov 9, 8:00 AMNov 1, 1:59 PM
28.28%chance
9690
OptionVotes
1592
628
Who will win California in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries?
Nov 5, 11:14 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM
00
OptionProbability
49
23
15
13
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