Canadian House of Commons News

Pierre Poilievre Wins Battle River-Crowfoot By-Election With 80% Vote, Returns to Parliament September 15

1 year ago

Will Alberta leave Canada?

Dec 24, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

114896

OptionProbability

Won’t leave before 2030

2029

2025

2026

2027

2028

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.1%chance

414168

OptionVotes

YES

1904

775

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

11.47%chance

91913

OptionVotes

YES

2779

360

Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?

Apr 8, 3:32 PMApr 8, 3:31 PM

76.74%chance

7969

OptionVotes

YES

182

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Mar 31, 1:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8391

OptionProbability

Not before King Charles has died/abdicated (not necessarily immediately)

Not before Quebec declares independence

By 2050

By 2040

Not before closing date

Before Quebec declares independence

While under King Charles

By 2030

In 2025

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Canada
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Pierre Poilievre Wins Battle River-Crowfoot By-Election With 80% Vote, Returns to Parliament September 15
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1 year ago

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Will Alberta leave Canada?

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

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