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Top stories

New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud

New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud

Authors

30

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Capital One

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.88%chance

4411762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

669

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

926

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.35%chance

211414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

852

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

231085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

870

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

Which credit card will have the most valuable points at the end of June 2026?

Sep 28, 5:20 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

3724

OptionProbability

Chase Ultimate Rewards

American Express Membership Rewards

Capital One Rewards

Citi ThankYou Rewards

Wells Fargo Rewards

Other

95

2

1

1

1

1

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.98%chance

6528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

654

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

780

Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?

Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.09%chance

2373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

What will be the value of Capital One Rewards Points at the end of 2026?

Sep 28, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1260

OptionProbability

1.80 - 1.99

Below 1.80

2.00 - 2.19

2.20 - 2.29

2.30+

35

27

27

7

4

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Law
Fintech
New York
New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud
Authors
30
10 months ago

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