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Top stories

New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud

New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud

Authors

30

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Capital One

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.03%chance

7837594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2097

493

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.85%chance

233740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

885

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Sep 28, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.14%chance

112824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

983

Where will Arnav end up being employed?

Feb 3, 5:54 AMJul 1, 4:48 AM

82222

OptionProbability

uber

Amazon

OpenAI

Other

Google

Meta

Nvida

Workday

pWc

Capital One

Databricks

Anthropic

Snowflake

Linkedin

Tesla

Nflx

48

24

9

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

852

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

780

Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?

Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.09%chance

2373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Which credit card will have the most valuable points at the end of June 2026?

Sep 28, 5:20 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1370

OptionProbability

Chase Ultimate Rewards

American Express Membership Rewards

Capital One Rewards

Citi ThankYou Rewards

Wells Fargo Rewards

Other

55

25

6

5

4

4

What will be the value of Capital One Rewards Points at the end of 2026?

Sep 28, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1260

OptionProbability

1.80 - 1.99

Below 1.80

2.00 - 2.19

2.20 - 2.29

2.30+

35

27

27

7

4

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Law
Fintech
New York
New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud
Authors
30
7 months ago

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