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Top stories

New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud

New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud

Authors

30

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Capital One

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.58%chance

233790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

935

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Sep 28, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.14%chance

112824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

983

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

852

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.29%chance

20868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1484

812

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

780

Will Houston -> Austin become an Interstate Highway by 2040?

Nov 30, 1:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.09%chance

2373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Which credit card will have the most valuable points at the end of June 2026?

Sep 28, 5:20 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1370

OptionProbability

Chase Ultimate Rewards

American Express Membership Rewards

Capital One Rewards

Citi ThankYou Rewards

Wells Fargo Rewards

Other

55

25

6

5

4

4

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.97%chance

4278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1278

782

What will be the value of Capital One Rewards Points at the end of 2026?

Sep 28, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1260

OptionProbability

1.80 - 1.99

Below 1.80

2.00 - 2.19

2.20 - 2.29

2.30+

35

27

27

7

4

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Law
Fintech
New York
New York AG Sues Zelle Operator Over Alleged $1 Billion Fraud
Authors
30
7 months ago

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