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CBO Sees Trump Tariffs Cutting US Deficit by $4 Trillion
Authors
36
7 months ago
Prediction markets for CBO
Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?
Jun 14, 2:54 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM
1.37%chance
2013318
OptionVotes
8688
120
OptionProbability
85
8
3
1
1
1
What will the federal budget deficit be at the end of the Trump administration?
Mar 5, 9:30 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM
9777
OptionProbability
29
28
28
14
1
OptionProbability
37
25
15
11
9
2
OptionProbability
76
20
4
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2023?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
79.18%chance
2101
OptionProbability
201
35
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
79.04%chance
1100
OptionProbability
200
35
Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade?
Mar 7, 1:25 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
54%chance
482
OptionVotes
596
527
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
72.98%chance
175
OptionProbability
175
43
CBOE Putwrite index outperforms SPX (SP-500) over next year?
Jun 27, 11:03 PMAug 1, 11:03 PM
50%chance
114
OptionVotes
100
100
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2027?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
40%chance
00
OptionProbability
100
100
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM
40%chance
00
OptionProbability
100
100
Latest stories
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- CBO Sees Trump Tariffs Cutting US Deficit by $4 TrillionAuthors367 months ago